The National Weather Service and a pair of longtime weather almanacs say New York may see warmer-than-normal weather this spring, though likely not in February.
The Weather Service’s seasonal outlook for February, March and April says that New York has equal chances to see normal spring temperatures, but part of the state is more likely to receive above-average precipitation. The eastern part of the Empire State, including New York City, Long Island and the lower Hudson Valley, has equal chances to see normal precipitation.
The Old Farmer’s Almanac updated its spring outlook in late January. According to the almanac, New York may see warm and dry weather conditions. New York – which has portions of the state within four of 18 regions nationwide – is predicting warmer than average temperatures this spring, particularly in May, and below normal rainfall.
The other almanac — The Farmers’ Almanac, recently bought by a New York-based company saving it from permanently shuttering — predicts mostly cold and unsettled weather (some with heavy snow forecast) for the Northeast, including New York.
«…Spring is expected to arrive at an unhurried pace — taking its time before fully stretching into warmth,» the Farmers’ Almanac said. » Cool temperatures are forecast to linger from late March through mid-April, particularly across the North Central States, New England, and much of the Northeast. Frosty mornings may persist longer than average.»
According to the Weather Service, much of New York is expected to see above-average precipitation (up to 50% in western New York — including the Buffalo region — and between 33-40% for much of central and northern New York — including the Finger Lakes region and Adirondacks.) The Lower Hudson Valley, New York City and Long Island are all expected to see normal precipitation, according to the forecast.
What temperatures are predicted this spring in NY?
Temperature outlook from February through April for the U.S. in 2026.
Temperature outlook from February through April for the U.S. in 2026.
The temperature outlook for New York remain uncertain, with equal chances of having colder-than-normal or warmer-than-normal temperatures, according to Weather Service meteorologists. Through February, temperatures are likely to be colder than normal, forecasters said.
In New York, February has a 60 to 70% chance of seeing temperatures below normal, placing them in the «likely below» normal category for the shortest month of 2026, according to the Weather Service.